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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.43K | $0.803 | $8.03K | -$340.82 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.17K | $0.770 | $4.75K | Aug 6, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 5.81K |
| $0.685 |
| $5.58K |
| +$1.6K |
| sell |
| 900 |
| $0.922 |
| $829.62 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 732.07 | $0.971 | $710.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 556.94 | $0.973 | $541.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.95K | $0.972 | $1.9K | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 578.3 | $0.880 | $508.9 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 825.03 | $0.967 | $797.8 | May 31, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 838.65 | $0.881 | $738.98 | May 31, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 867 | $0.916 | $794.46 | May 31, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 342 | $0.750 | $256.5 | May 14, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 496.07 | $0.752 | $373.06 | May 14, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25 | $0.740 | $18.5 | May 14, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.3 | $0.735 | $32.56 | May 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 354.44 | $0.715 | $253.47 | May 7, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 763.14 | $0.696 | $530.95 | May 7, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27K | $0.996 | $2.26K | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 2.19K | $0.023 | $50.62 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 9.12K | $0.031 | $278.62 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 6.1K | $0.041 | $247.14 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.130 | $380.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 5.22K | $0.140 | $730.14 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.23K | $0.440 | $981.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 742 | $0.760 | $563.92 | Mar 14, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.873 | $2.62K | Mar 13, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.221 | $36.62 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.660 | $1.22K | Mar 9, 2026 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | sell | 316.7 | $0.976 | $309.04 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 98.66 | $0.955 | $94.22 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 499.96 | $0.061 | $30.58 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 38.91K | $0.004 | $155.62 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.87K | $0.053 | $311.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 26.04K | $0.054 | $1.41K | Feb 28, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 110 | $0.976 | $107.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 357.52 | $0.280 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 829 | $0.930 | $770.97 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.950 | $1.97K | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.950 | $1.57K | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.940 | $1.71K | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.650 | $1.11K | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 395 | $0.640 | $252.8 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 2.21K | $0.985 | $2.18K | Feb 15, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.830 | $866.12 | Feb 15, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.67K | $0.760 | $4.31K | Feb 11, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 436.17 | $0.240 | $104.68 | Feb 11, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.250 | $0.17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 545 | $0.250 | $136.25 | Feb 11, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 46.72 | $0.260 | $12.15 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 510 | $0.560 | $285.6 | Feb 8, 2026 |