Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 928.88 | $0.221 | $205 | Dec 11, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 173.8 |
| $0.239 |
| $41.51 |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 287.84 | $0.007 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | sell | 42.5 | $0.900 | $38.25 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 58.58 | $0.239 | $14 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.136 | $2.06 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.920 | $6.86 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 51.72 | $0.200 | $10.34 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 361.14 | $0.278 | $100.44 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 373.81 | $0.265 | $99 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.010 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 323.03 | $0.248 | $80 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 81.74 | $0.110 | $9 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 96.02 | $0.842 | $80.87 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.050 | $4.17 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Flames vs. CanucksCanucks | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 96.02 | $0.271 | $26 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.030 | $15 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 334.27 | $0.030 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | buy | 24.45 | $0.695 | $17 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?Senate | sell | 51.02 | $0.933 | $47.58 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.540 | $15 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 75.64 | $0.230 | $17.4 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 62.9 | $0.048 | $3 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 20.52 | $0.487 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?Yes | buy | 151.14 | $0.033 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No | sell | 116.66 | $0.090 | $10.5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No | buy | 116.67 | $0.120 | $14 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?Senate | buy | 51.02 | $0.490 | $25 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.198 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 10.79 | $0.278 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |