Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?No | sell | 38.54 | $0.015 | $0.58 | Oct 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 38.55 |
| $0.579 |
| $22.32 |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 762.49 | $0.029 | $22.32 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 13.6 | $0.580 | $7.89 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 271.5 | $0.060 | $16.29 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 85.17 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 16.2 | $0.840 | $13.61 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 241.36 | $0.024 | $5.77 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 118.5 | $0.028 | $3.32 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 51.5 | $0.043 | $2.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $111,000 on September 4 at 8AM ET?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $111,000 on September 4 at 8AM ET?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $109,000 on September 2 at 8PM ET?No | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $109,500 on September 2 at 8PM ET?No | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 2 at 8PM ET?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 145.5 | $0.029 | $4.18 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 106.03 | $0.021 | $2.23 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.036 | $5.45 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 101.5 | $0.037 | $3.76 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 45.5 | $0.023 | $1.05 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.014 | $0.29 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 45.56 | $0.036 | $1.64 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.020 | $0.5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.013 | $0.27 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 163.66 | $0.080 | $13.09 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Was Kanye hacked?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 22?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.920 | $3.5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Was Kanye hacked?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?Yes | sell | 85.87 | $0.070 | $6.01 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?Yes | buy | 111.99 | $0.027 | $3 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.120 | $5.04 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Trump and Putin shake hands by October 31?No | buy | 206.04 | $0.028 | $5.75 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.120 | $9.23 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4PM ETDown | sell | 1.96 | $0.990 | $1.94 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3PM ETDown | sell | 1.96 | $0.999 | $1.96 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1PM ETDown | sell | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12PM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4PM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3PM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 17.71 | $0.280 | $4.96 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.720 | $4.96 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 6.89 | $0.830 | $5.72 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China before September?Yes | sell | 492.46 | $0.011 | $5.27 | Aug 11, 2025 |