Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.800 | $46.4 | Apr 13, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 500 |
| $0.810 |
| $405 |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 882 | $0.983 | $867.19 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?No | sell | 1K | $0.984 | $983.77 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.982 | $2.94K | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% or more in February?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.132 | $8.56 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.080 | $32 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 458.52 | $0.345 | $158.13 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?No | buy | 1K | $0.968 | $967.94 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b before March?No | buy | 750 | $0.987 | $740.44 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 621.23 | $0.610 | $378.95 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.550 | $165 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.550 | $56.65 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.550 | $9.14 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.540 | $14.58 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 334 | $0.510 | $170.34 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?No | sell | 510 | $0.922 | $469.98 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.957 | $133.94 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.943 | $9.43 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.945 | $944.78 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.951 | $951.35 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?No | sell | 2K | $0.997 | $1.99K | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 500 | $0.939 | $469.73 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 30-34 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 700 | $0.940 | $658.27 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 188.64 | $0.968 | $182.6 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.988 | $1.28K | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 165 | $0.900 | $148.5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 700 | $0.921 | $644.69 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.530 | $3.71 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $459.93 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.260 | $35.1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 499.97 | $0.230 | $115.09 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.560 | $89.04 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 114 | $0.820 | $93.48 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.580 | $9.28 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 500 | $0.310 | $154.83 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?No | buy | 2K | $0.987 | $1.97K | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 834.26 | $0.805 | $671.42 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.210 | $68.88 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 838 | $0.210 | $175.98 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.540 | $84.78 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | sell | 9.37K | $0.998 | $9.35K | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 4.37K | $0.995 | $4.35K | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 5K | $0.995 | $4.98K | Jan 4, 2025 |