Analytics
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
kaiyao123 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,895,122 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$449.57 observed lifetime PnL, 67 distinct markets, 38 resolved positions, a 78.9% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x50c8e35582a751f594094358d1c2c4d2130cc635
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 17.5 | $0.948 | $17.17 | +$0.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 332.5 | $0.980 | $325.85 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Bulls vs. BucksBulls | buy | 113.79 | $0.580 | $66 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Kings vs. WizardsKings | buy | 109.26 | $0.540 | $59 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonTeam Vitality | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Suns vs. HawksSuns | buy | 118.97 | $0.580 | $69 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Warriors vs. MavericksWarriors | buy | 127.87 | $0.610 | $78 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Hawks vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies | buy | 111.11 | $0.540 | $60 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Lakers vs. NuggetsLakers | buy | 115.79 | $0.570 | $66 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Penguins vs. KrakenPenguins | buy | 111.11 | $0.540 | $60 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)Ground Zero Gaming | buy | 154.55 | $0.330 | $51 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Jazz vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 132 | $0.500 | $66 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.047 | $23.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Jazz vs. BullsJazz | buy | 115.91 | $0.440 | $51 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 118.6 | $0.430 | $51 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs | buy | 118.6 | $0.430 | $51 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 122.03 | $0.590 | $72 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. SunsKnicks | buy | 107.55 | $0.530 | $57 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesCavaliers | buy | 120.45 | $0.440 | $53 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. JetsJets | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blue JacketsPenguins | buy | 111.96 | $0.460 | $51.5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Utah vs. IslandersUtah | buy | 106.25 | $0.480 | $51 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Devils vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs | buy | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Giants vs. RaidersRaiders | buy | 118.6 | $0.430 | $51 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| 76ers vs. BullsBulls | buy | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves | buy | 124.39 | $0.410 | $51 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Over | buy | 101.96 | $0.510 | $52 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Celtics vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 108.33 | $0.480 | $52 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Utah vs. BruinsBruins | buy | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Commanders vs. GiantsGiants | buy | 117.24 | $0.580 | $68 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Blackhawks vs. BluesBlues | buy | 107.55 | $0.530 | $57 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Panthers vs. UtahUtah | buy | 106.12 | $0.490 | $52 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Kings vs. UtahUtah | buy | 107.55 | $0.530 | $57 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Miami (OH) vs. Western MichiganWestern Michigan | buy | 110.26 | $0.553 | $61 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Sabres vs. FlyersFlyers | buy | 107.55 | $0.530 | $57 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Penguins vs. FlyersPenguins | buy | 115.91 | $0.440 | $51 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Kings vs. JazzJazz | buy | 109.26 | $0.540 | $59 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Grizzlies vs. PelicansPelicans | buy | 118.18 | $0.440 | $52 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Trail Blazers vs. BucksTrail Blazers | buy | 102.13 | $0.470 | $48 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Knicks vs. MagicMagic | buy | 104 | $0.500 | $52 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Devils vs. PanthersDevils | buy | 118.6 | $0.430 | $51 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Kings vs. CapitalsKings | buy | 111.96 | $0.460 | $51.5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Hawks vs. SunsHawks | sell | 103.77 | $0.999 | $103.67 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Hawks vs. SunsHawks | buy | 103.77 | $0.530 | $55 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Warriors vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 120.34 | $0.590 | $71 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Stars vs. CanadiensStars | buy | 117.02 | $0.470 | $55 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Magic vs. KnicksMagic | buy | 148.65 | $0.370 | $55 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Kings vs. CanadiensCanadiens | buy | 108.33 | $0.480 | $52 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Bucks vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 113.04 | $0.460 | $52 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Jaguars vs. TexansJaguars | buy | 106 | $0.500 | $53 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Lakers vs. HawksLakers | buy | 121.67 | $0.600 | $73 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.