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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.016 | $0.9 | -$2.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.92 | Jul 26, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.092 |
| $0.14 |
| -$0.78 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.264 |
| $2.64 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.011 | $0.73 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.038 | $3.84 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | sell | 85.48 | $0.200 | $17.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | sell | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.570 | $8.55 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.198 | $3.96 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.090 | $0.63 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | buy | 28.02 | $0.090 | $2.52 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.410 | $6.15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.160 | $9.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.263 | $2.63 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.245 | $12.25 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.092 | $0.92 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.039 | $3.94 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.449 | $8.98 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.285 | $8.55 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.050 | $8.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.13 | $0.304 | $16.46 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.582 | $6.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.228 | $4.56 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.064 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 239.62 | $0.004 | $0.96 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.073 | $3.65 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?No | buy | 104 | $0.040 | $4.16 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.2 | $0.072 | $1.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.130 | $1.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?No | buy | 9.67 | $0.130 | $1.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?No | buy | 40 | $0.047 | $1.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?No | buy | 13.17 | $0.046 | $0.61 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.321 | $3.53 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.327 | $4.25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.331 | $3.35 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 54.12 | $0.575 | $31.12 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.601 | $27.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 55 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Jul 14, 2026 |