Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 813.36 | $0.087 | $70.8 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.11K |
| $0.006 |
| $66.65 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.019 | $23.83 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.008 | $13.06 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.007 | $11.37 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 275.14 | $0.036 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 5.43K | $0.006 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.024 | $31.49 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.38K | $0.004 | $37.54 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.034 | $46.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.06K | $0.007 | $30 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.33K | $0.009 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?No | buy | 4.32K | $0.006 | $25.86 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.33K | $0.025 | $106.49 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 245.86 | $0.070 | $17.21 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No | sell | 131.73 | $0.066 | $8.65 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.011 | $17.21 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 622.75 | $0.080 | $49.82 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 711.81 | $0.070 | $49.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 349.73 | $0.150 | $52.46 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.09K | $0.017 | $52.46 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 702.38 | $0.130 | $91.31 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | sell | 445.55 | $0.205 | $91.31 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.1 | $0.100 | $11.71 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 780.42 | $0.015 | $11.71 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 594.71 | $0.070 | $41.63 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 780.42 | $0.026 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.39K | $0.014 | $33.42 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 445.56 | $0.090 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?No | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 698.57 | $0.014 | $9.78 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.013 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No | buy | 131.73 | $0.075 | $9.89 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.025 | $9.89 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.012 | $29.55 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.007 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 53.87 | $0.230 | $12.39 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.46K | $0.001 | $45.46 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.58K | $0.006 | $45.46 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.58K | $0.015 | $115.71 | Jan 20, 2026 |