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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No | sell | 9.52 | $0.170 | $1.62 | Mar 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $1 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.600 | $2.14 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.038 | $1.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.264 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Arizona vs. Arizona StateArizona | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Moscow" this week? (December 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.61 | $0.660 | $7 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.47 | $0.860 | $3.84 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Kraken vs. PenguinsPenguins | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on November 23?Up | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23?Up | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.026 | $0.65 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?Yes | sell | 100.93 | $0.026 | $2.66 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?Yes | buy | 150.93 | $0.033 | $5 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.861 | $2.7 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 5.19 | $0.780 | $4.05 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.955 | $3 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on November 11?Up | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7PM ETDown | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-11-06?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-08?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-05?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-06?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 13.79 | $0.987 | $13.61 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 14.42 | $0.383 | $5.52 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11PM ETUp | buy | 6.43 | $0.622 | $4 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | sell | 11.41 | $0.904 | $10.31 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 4?Up | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Heat vs. LakersHeat | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ETUp | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 14.42 | $0.520 | $7.5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.671 | $4.79 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.985 | $5.04 | Oct 27, 2025 |