Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | sell | 697.94 | $0.840 | $586.27 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.35K |
| $0.385 |
| $905.38 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 2.7K | $0.400 | $1.08K | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 10.34K | $0.190 | $1.96K | Oct 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.520 | $624 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.550 | $165 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 3.63K | $0.240 | $870.04 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 115.01 | $0.550 | $63.26 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 799.71 | $0.250 | $199.93 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.250 | $11.25 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 635.01 | $0.840 | $533.41 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 317.71 | $0.370 | $117.55 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.459 | $918.91 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.730 | $54.75 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 224.76 | $0.720 | $161.83 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.369 | $368.62 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.260 | $910 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | buy | 950 | $0.820 | $779 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.390 | $101.4 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 129.01 | $0.350 | $45.15 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 85 | $0.700 | $59.5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 382 | $0.700 | $267.4 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?No | buy | 112.66 | $0.590 | $66.47 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 1.42K | $0.760 | $1.08K | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.740 | $222 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.770 | $924.15 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.300 | $6.57 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | sell | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.870 | $9.57 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 178.78 | $0.760 | $135.87 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 129 | $0.480 | $61.92 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 259 | $0.835 | $216.3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.820 | $1.03K | Oct 10, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.299 | $837.27 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?Yes | buy | 458 | $0.039 | $17.82 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.918 | $1.35K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.258 | $638.86 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 375 | $0.736 | $276.14 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.370 | $70.3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.595 | $616.99 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.850 | $1.35K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 7.43K | $0.476 | $3.53K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.330 | $132 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.318 | $608.6 | Oct 8, 2025 |