Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 111.68 | $0.985 | $111.34 | +$1.34 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 111.68 | $0.985 | $110 | May 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 110.07 |
| $0.978 |
| $107.65 |
| May 13, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 110.07 | $0.963 | $106 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.25 | $0.020 | $0.07 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Matthew Macfayden win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | sell | 1.9 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.2 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 4.66 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.018 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 4.29 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.88 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Jan Schakowsky be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will a contestant numbered 51 - 75 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes | sell | 3.51 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Michele Bravi win Sanremo 2026?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.010 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.025 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Raymond Hamden be the Republican nominee for TX-31?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.004 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.003 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Brycen Garrison win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.003 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes | sell | 3.04 | $0.004 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Abbott Elementary win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.003 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Brian Cillessen win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.004 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 3.81 | $0.007 | $0.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Ted Dabrowski win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.028 | $0.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.022 | $0.04 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Keith Ellison be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 4.5 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.005 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.013 | $0.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.017 | $0.04 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.04 | $0.015 | $0.05 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.030 | $0.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton charged by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.013 | $0.05 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.045 | $0.06 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.030 | $0.06 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.060 | $0.07 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.031 | $0.07 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" during the State of the Union address?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.070 | $0.08 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.060 | $0.09 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.051 | $0.08 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.3 | $0.030 | $0.07 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.02 | $0.043 | $0.13 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | sell | 4.38 | $0.019 | $0.08 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.250 | $0.28 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Stevan Gess win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.003 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.01 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Kim Eun-hye win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the NYC nurses strike end by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.010 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |