Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 76.76 | $0.330 | $44.13 | +$18.81 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 222 | $0.020 | $4.44 | Feb 27, 2026 |
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| No |
| 47.01 |
| $0.680 |
| $43.25 |
| +$11.28 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 67 | $0.470 | $35.18 | +$3.69 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.01 | $0.740 | $31.52 | +$7.1 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 62.01 | $0.590 | $30.85 | -$5.73 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 111.99 | $0.300 | $28 | -$5.6 |
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 82 | $0.450 | $24.19 | -$12.71 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 26.08 | $0.331 | $22.36 | +$13.73 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 12.95 | $0.760 | $11.98 | +$2.14 |
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 138 | $0.170 | $11.18 | -$12.28 |
| sell |
| 1.47 |
| $0.884 |
| $1.3 |
| Feb 17, 2026 |
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 274.99 | $0.040 | $11 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.790 | $46.61 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.241 | $1.21 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | sell | 75 | $0.032 | $2.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.042 | $6.09 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?Yes | sell | 14.77 | $0.100 | $1.48 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 26 | $0.710 | $18.46 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?No | sell | 15.43 | $0.720 | $11.11 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | sell | 27 | $0.850 | $22.95 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?Yes | sell | 31.98 | $0.150 | $4.8 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?Yes | sell | 21.61 | $0.170 | $3.67 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 17 | $0.850 | $14.45 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 42 | $0.410 | $17.22 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 66.59 | $0.190 | $12.65 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?No | sell | 24.99 | $0.830 | $20.74 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.180 | $14.94 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.890 | $25.81 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.850 | $17.85 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 70 | $0.720 | $50.4 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.690 | $31.05 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.560 | $50.4 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 42 | $0.300 | $12.6 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.260 | $28.08 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.100 | $12.4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | sell | 56.9 | $0.210 | $11.95 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.730 | $11.77 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.120 | $13.8 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?No | sell | 30 | $0.510 | $15.3 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.100 | $13.6 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?No | sell | 26 | $0.520 | $13.52 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 236 | $0.130 | $30.68 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?No | sell | 30.67 | $0.850 | $26.07 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 35 | $0.830 | $29.05 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Sep 30, 2025 |