Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No | sell | 159.95 | $0.649 | $103.85 | Apr 20, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 991.21 |
| $0.625 |
| $619.11 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.920 | $60.72 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 59.36 | $0.930 | $55.2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 63.22 | $0.826 | $52.22 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 42.9 | $0.958 | $41.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 44.92 | $0.860 | $38.63 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 168.26 | $0.220 | $37.02 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?No | sell | 44.72 | $0.840 | $37.56 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 28.45 | $0.830 | $23.61 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?No | sell | 25.15 | $0.900 | $22.63 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?No | sell | 20.31 | $0.905 | $18.38 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 23.1 | $0.780 | $18.02 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?No | sell | 16.5 | $0.989 | $16.32 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?No | sell | 11 | $0.740 | $8.14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?No | sell | 6.8 | $0.880 | $5.98 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 31.42 | $0.160 | $5.03 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | sell | 339.25 | $0.006 | $1.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 431.94 | $0.004 | $1.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.23 | $0.090 | $1.37 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | sell | 336.33 | $0.001 | $0.34 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 3.45 | $0.810 | $2.79 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 4.45 | $0.630 | $2.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.41 | $0.991 | $2.39 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.580 | $0.79 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.72 | $0.053 | $0.57 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.54 | $0.013 | $0.32 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 0.46 | $0.965 | $0.44 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.340 | $0.04 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.8 | $0.600 | $31.68 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 149.55 | $0.610 | $91.23 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | sell | 9.9 | $0.530 | $5.25 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??No | sell | 11.28 | $0.860 | $9.7 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 9.48 | $0.500 | $4.74 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.450 | $4.27 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 61.05 | $0.865 | $52.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 54.28 | $0.520 | $28.23 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.450 | $4.17 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.440 | $5.29 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 33 | $0.470 | $15.51 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 43 | $0.500 | $21.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | sell | 6.43 | $0.740 | $4.76 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 29.8 | $0.520 | $15.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 7.77 | $0.470 | $3.65 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 12.03 | $0.520 | $6.26 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Apr 17, 2026 |