Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 12.73 | $0.943 | $12.63 | +$0.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.930 | $21 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.46 |
| $0.956 |
| $10.18 |
| +$0.18 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 11.24 | $0.890 | $7.58 | -$2.42 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.51 | +$0.51 |
| buy |
| 26.45 |
| $0.983 |
| $26 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.943 | $12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.041 | $12.3 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.049 | $14.58 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 19.58 | $0.817 | $16 | May 24, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.940 | $16 | May 24, 2026 |
 Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireRay J | sell | 50.61 | $0.600 | $30.37 | May 24, 2026 |
| Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob MeneryMenery | sell | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 23 | $0.910 | $20.93 | May 24, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.934 | $20.54 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | sell | 22.47 | $0.650 | $14.61 | May 24, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 23.4 | $0.890 | $20.83 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 23.4 | $0.940 | $22 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.960 | $21.12 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresColorado Rockies | sell | 1.09K | $0.400 | $434.91 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresColorado Rockies | sell | 380.93 | $0.400 | $152.37 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresColorado Rockies | buy | 36.96 | $0.410 | $15.16 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | sell | 224.35 | $0.240 | $53.84 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.976 | $4.98K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.977 | $1.56K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.977 | $977 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.977 | $2.44K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 64 | $0.977 | $62.53 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 3.71 | $0.999 | $3.71 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.963 | $5.01 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | sell | 5.46 | $0.982 | $5.36 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.950 | $5.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5.54 | $0.999 | $5.53 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.942 | $3.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.940 | $5.2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.969 | $5.3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.970 | $5.1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.965 | $5.1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.950 | $5.4 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.978 | $5.1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.980 | $5.2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 5.96 | $0.956 | $5.7 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |