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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 7.99 | $0.580 | $2.4 | -$2.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.499 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.050 |
| $1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 13.05 | $0.766 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| buy | 6.66 | $0.320 | $2.13 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.390 | $1.96 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.770 | $1.55 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |