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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 892.86 | $0.560 | $468.75 | -$31.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.560 | $500 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.9K |
| $0.690 |
| $260.87 |
| -$1.74K |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.360 | $208.33 | -$791.66 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.270 | $3.5 | -$266.5 |
| sell |
| 943.39 |
| $0.930 |
| $877.35 |
| 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 870.46 | $0.750 | $652.85 | 27d ago |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 821.94 | $0.608 | $500 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.860 | $1.54K | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.85K | $0.167 | $641.13 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 870.46 | $0.574 | $500 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No | buy | 678.65 | $0.737 | $500 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 664.5 | $0.752 | $500 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 943.4 | $0.530 | $500 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.280 | $500 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.948 | $1.36K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.130 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.37K | $0.356 | $486.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.365 | $500 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.310 | $500 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.412 | $686.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.385 | $580.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.300 | $500 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 724.9 | $0.690 | $500 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.210 | $500 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.420 | $500 | May 31, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.731 | $1.13K | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes | sell | 546.26 | $0.850 | $464.32 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.980 | $1.09K | May 23, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?No | sell | 794.91 | $0.981 | $780.01 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 3.28K | $0.967 | $3.17K | May 23, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.903 | $1.43K | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 763.66 | $0.873 | $666.84 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 1.61K | $0.640 | $1.03K | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes | buy | 546.27 | $0.670 | $366 | May 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 763.67 | $0.655 | $500 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.700 | $1K | May 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.626 | $1K | May 14, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?No | buy | 794.91 | $0.629 | $500 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.450 | $500 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.630 | $1K | May 12, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.620 | $1K | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.744 | $1K | May 10, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.645 | $1K | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 2.04K | $0.790 | $1.61K | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.490 | $1K | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.268 | $500 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.331 | $500 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.75K | $0.571 | $1K | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.248 | $500 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.976 | $1.21K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 393.22 | $0.590 | $232 | Apr 12, 2026 |