Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15K | $0.575 | $6.83K | -$1.79K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.91K | $0.001 | $1.91 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.89K |
| $0.863 |
| $2.45K |
| -$38.88 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 2.02K | $0.850 | $1.83K | +$110.43 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 1.11K | $0.800 | $1.07K | +$177.6 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.910 | $961.5 | +$51.5 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 595.41 | $0.903 | $590.94 | +$53.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 555 | $0.870 | $542.24 | +$59.39 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 555 | $0.790 | $502.28 | +$63.83 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 454.41 | $0.601 | $402.15 | +$129.07 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.460 | $322.5 | +$92.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.670 | $290 | -$1.05K |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? | No | 515 | $0.902 | $208.58 | -$255.97 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 300 | $0.320 | $130.5 | +$34.5 |
 Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $61.5 | -$24.5 |
 Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 95.24 | $0.181 | $2.38 | -$14.88 |
 Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | No | 7.49 | $0.764 | $1.16 | -$4.56 |
| sell |
| 1.06K |
| $0.006 |
| $6.35 |
| 10d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | sell | 906.8 | $0.005 | $4.53 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.21 | $0.009 | $0.12 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.001 | $0.16 | 28d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?No | buy | 382.52 | $0.962 | $367.99 | 29d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026?No | buy | 824.04 | $0.946 | $779.7 | 29d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026?No | buy | 396.03 | $0.956 | $378.42 | 29d ago |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?No | buy | 139.57 | $0.970 | $135.37 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.987 | $2.47K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.995 | $2.49K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.975 | $49.73 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?No | buy | 73.05 | $0.976 | $71.29 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 395 | $0.897 | $354.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?No | buy | 347.41 | $0.957 | $332.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 135.99 | $0.961 | $130.74 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.934 | $14.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?No | buy | 36.62 | $0.935 | $34.22 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 629.62 | $0.040 | $25.18 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.953 | $317.35 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 4.69K | $0.774 | $3.63K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 815.85 | $0.009 | $7.34 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | sell | 957.24 | $0.010 | $9.83 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.945 | $2.1K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 275 | $0.064 | $17.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 125 | $0.070 | $8.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 150 | $0.070 | $10.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 776.19 | $0.930 | $721.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 752.67 | $0.999 | $751.92 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 519.33 | $0.790 | $410.27 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.034 | $3.13 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4K | $0.828 | $3.31K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.006 | $0.14 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.61 | $0.010 | $0.15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 21?Yes | sell | 555 | $0.009 | $4.89 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?No | sell | 3K | $0.998 | $2.99K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.160 | $35.52 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 144 | $0.998 | $143.78 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?Yes | buy | 173.7 | $0.975 | $169.31 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?Yes | buy | 308 | $0.968 | $298.25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be shown 12 or more times at the World Cup Final?No | buy | 988.69 | $0.972 | $961.01 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 3.46K | $0.988 | $3.42K | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 30 million and 34 million?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.013 | $0.27 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will a Goal be Scored During 106-120 Minute?Yes | buy | 357.82 | $0.139 | $49.89 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will a Goal be Scored During 91-105 Minute?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.208 | $54 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will a Goal be Scored During 91-105 Minute?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.129 | $395.63 | Jul 17, 2026 |