Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | Yes | 177 | $0.687 | $121.25 | -$0.34 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.078 | $7.8 | 26d ago |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.880 |
| $92.5 |
| +$4.5 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100 | $0.773 | $75.95 | -$1.35 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 35 | $0.528 | $22.58 | +$4.08 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.078 | $17.6 | +$9.8 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 99.87 | $0.776 | $16.48 | -$61.07 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.190 | $7.5 | -$11.5 |
 Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $0.3 | -$6.7 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.427 | $0.05 | -$21.3 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.773 |
| $77.3 |
| 26d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | 26d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | 26d ago |
| Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.670 | $51.59 | 26d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.984 | $98.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.764 | $38.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 34.87 | $0.770 | $26.85 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No | buy | 25 | $0.525 | $13.12 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp | buy | 19.65 | $0.880 | $17.3 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETUp | buy | 19.94 | $0.980 | $19.54 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 9.99 | $0.990 | $9.89 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.427 | $21.35 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 UK Government approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?Up | buy | 100 | $0.495 | $49.51 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 80 | $0.480 | $38.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?No | buy | 20 | $0.932 | $18.64 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.753 | $18.83 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?Up | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.786 | $6.89 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?No | buy | 22 | $0.950 | $20.9 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | sell | 485 | $0.969 | $469.98 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 500 | $0.820 | $410 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 300.37 | $0.800 | $240.3 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.82 | $0.750 | $7.37 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.7 | $0.430 | $4.17 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.470 | $4.55 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.7 | $0.420 | $4.08 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.82 | $0.750 | $7.37 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.88 | $0.190 | $1.88 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.96 | $0.900 | $8.96 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 9.85 | $0.220 | $2.17 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.460 | $4.46 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.9 | $0.730 | $3.58 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 19.82 | $0.840 | $16.65 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jan 16, 2026 |