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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 87.84 | $0.273 | $37.02 | +$13.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | 21m ago |
 |
| No |
| 43.26 |
| $0.412 |
| $18.82 |
| +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.19 | $0.461 | $16.21 | +$3.21 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 8.43 | $0.830 | $8.06 | +$1.06 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.96 | $0.639 | $7.51 | +$0.51 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 7.74 | $0.905 | $7.04 | +$0.04 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 8.59 | $0.532 | $6.92 | +$2.35 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 43.87 | $0.228 | $6.36 | -$3.64 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 6.22 | $0.643 | $5.2 | +$1.2 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 5.41 | $0.924 | $4.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.45 | $0.710 | $3.76 | -$2.24 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.84 | $0.161 | $3.59 | -$0.41 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | No | 3.15 | $0.953 | $3.07 | +$0.07 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.55 | $0.221 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.720 | $2.98 | -$0.02 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.99 | $0.454 | $2.79 | +$1.44 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 3.54 | $0.518 | $2.78 | +$0.94 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.48 | $0.575 | $2.7 | +$0.7 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | No | 4.12 | $0.485 | $2.5 | +$0.5 |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.23 | $0.895 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 2.28 | $0.878 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.39 |
| $0.720 |
| $1 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 3h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.850 | $0.99 | 3h ago |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 3h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 12h ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.112 | $0.36 | 14h ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.190 | $0.23 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 19h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 22h ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.460 | $0.46 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.510 | $0.96 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.510 | $0.96 | 7d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.510 | $0.96 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.399 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.395 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.383 | $1 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $1 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.293 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 13d ago |