Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.939 |
| $4.69 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.750 | $3.74 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.850 | $4.24 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.954 | $4.77 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 4.97 | $0.933 | $4.63 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.556 | $2.78 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.945 | $4.73 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No | buy | 4.87 | $0.820 | $3.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.948 | $4.74 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.840 | $4.19 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No | buy | 4.97 | $0.935 | $4.64 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.916 | $4.58 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.842 | $4.21 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.890 | $4.44 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.976 | $4.87 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.888 | $4.44 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.920 | $4.59 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.937 | $4.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5 | $0.943 | $4.72 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.807 | $4.03 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.403 | $2.02 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.973 | $4.86 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.608 | $3.04 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.590 | $2.94 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.813 | $4.06 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.880 | $4.39 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.971 | $4.85 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.298 | $1.49 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.926 | $4.63 | Mar 27, 2026 |