Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 43m ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 7.35 | $0.680 | $6.07 | +$1.07 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | May 21, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.95 |
| $0.840 |
| $5.27 |
| +$0.27 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | +$0 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 5.15 | $0.970 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | Yes | 17.38 | $0.377 | $2.52 | -$4.03 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.35 | $0.143 | $1.13 | -$6.07 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.81 | $0.370 | $0.84 | -$1.31 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.33 | $0.150 | $0.82 | -$2.98 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.200 | $0.72 | -$1.08 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.980 |
| $4.9 |
| May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.93 | $0.759 | $2.98 | May 11, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 11.63 | $0.660 | $7.68 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 816.26 | $0.010 | $8.16 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 649.6 | $0.038 | $25 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 130.18 | $0.722 | $93.99 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 26.91 | $0.160 | $4.31 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 130.18 | $0.768 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Yes | sell | 24.13 | $0.295 | $7.12 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.048 | $0.67 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.71 | $0.172 | $1.15 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.550 | $5.75 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | sell | 5.83 | $0.450 | $2.62 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.170 | $1.42 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | sell | 5.65 | $0.469 | $2.65 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | sell | 41.85 | $0.093 | $3.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?No | sell | 15.29 | $0.520 | $7.95 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.270 | $1.6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2AM ETDown | buy | 5.36 | $0.420 | $2.25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.890 | $4.6 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.750 | $0.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?No | sell | 4.92 | $0.966 | $4.75 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.984 | $4.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.968 | $4.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 5?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.940 | $4.73 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.938 | $4.74 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.951 | $4.9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.959 | $4.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.964 | $4.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.997 | $0.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.988 | $0.98 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.708 | $3.6 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.704 | $3.65 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?Yes | sell | 4.95 | $0.500 | $2.48 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.207 | $1.3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.727 | $3.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |