Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 21, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 6.09 |
| $0.450 |
| $2.74 |
| Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | sell | 41.66 | $0.536 | $22.34 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?No | sell | 37.31 | $0.670 | $25 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.400 | $25 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 37.31 | $0.670 | $25 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.600 | $25 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.620 | $40 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.65 | $0.680 | $29 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 28.31 | $0.883 | $25 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.650 | $6.78 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | buy | 12.72 | $0.460 | $5.85 | Jun 1, 2025 |
Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.920 | $5.35 | May 7, 2025 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 7, 2025 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 7, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | May 7, 2025 |
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | May 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.953 | $1.23 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will Kanye West release an album before July?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Pepe ETF in 2025?No | buy | 3.43 | $0.934 | $3.2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Solana above $215 on January 24?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Bezos announce Washington Post sale in 2025?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.760 | $1.63 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Jay-Z in jail before April?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.952 | $4 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Fact Check: was Luigi Mangione paid?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Dec 23, 2024 |
USD worth more than Euro before 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.640 | $9 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | buy | 13.64 | $0.440 | $6 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 246.01 | $0.020 | $5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.922 | $5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.712 | $2.5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.420 | $2.5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.123 | $1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.170 | $1.19 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 110-119 times Nov 1-8?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.041 | $0.27 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 100-109 times Nov 1-8?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.231 | $1.16 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?No | sell | 5.76 | $0.013 | $0.07 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Bitcoin all time high day after election?No | sell | 19.72 | $0.160 | $3.16 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 212.45 | $0.937 | $199.07 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.649 | $3.82 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 26.28 | $0.631 | $16.58 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100.84 | $0.618 | $62.32 | Nov 5, 2024 |