Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $2.36 | +$1.36 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.04 | $0.610 | $2.46 | 9d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.59 |
| $0.630 |
| $1.32 |
| +$0.32 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.500 |
| $1 |
| 9d ago |
| ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: FebruaryNothing | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will AWP | Printstream win the HLTV Skin of the Year award?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.275 | $1.1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.878 | $6.96 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.025 | $0.38 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Vitality win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?Ukraine | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast say "Blast" or "Bomb" during his next video?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.870 | $2.71 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.023 | $0.15 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.155 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.840 | $2.94 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.541 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.126 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentNo | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.789 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.663 | $1 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Ross Ulbricht say "Silk Road" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Falcons win the IEM Dallas tournament?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will "donk" get at least one 2.00+ rating on at least 1 map of the PGL Astana playoffs?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | May 10, 2025 |