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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.95 | $0.950 | $0.93 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.969 | $35.85 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 59 |
| $0.520 |
| $30.68 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.038 | $1.37 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.670 | $36.18 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.910 | $35.49 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.140 | $4.62 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.580 | $40.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.570 | $39.33 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.070 | $2.73 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.190 | $3.04 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 46 | $0.860 | $39.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.936 | $11.23 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.240 | $11.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 35 | $0.953 | $33.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.270 | $21.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.270 | $21.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.822 | $40.28 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.805 | $39.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 39 | $0.988 | $38.53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.988 | $38.53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.148 | $3.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.750 | $2.25 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.770 | $32.34 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 28 | $0.820 | $22.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.830 | $29.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.820 | $6.97 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 7 | $0.950 | $6.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 41 | $0.950 | $38.95 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.500 | $39 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.500 | $39 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.965 | $35.71 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.038 | $1.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.959 | $39.32 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.962 | $39.44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.510 | $35.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.510 | $4.08 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.013 | $0.35 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 16 | $0.808 | $12.93 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.810 | $34.83 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.986 | $10.85 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.6 | $0.986 | $11.44 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.480 | $18.72 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.460 | $17.94 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 3 | $0.975 | $2.93 | Jun 1, 2026 |