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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 120.99 | $0.829 | $112.16 | +$11.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 12.75 | $0.800 | $10.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 70 |
| $0.500 |
| $35.18 |
| +$0.18 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 70 | $0.500 | $34.83 | -$0.18 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 78.74 | $0.254 | $11.38 | -$8.62 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10.57 | $0.946 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
| buy |
| 10.57 |
| $0.946 |
| $10 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 12.17 | $0.822 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 42.24 | $0.284 | $12 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 120.99 | $0.829 | $100.3 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.445 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ABilibili Gaming | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 33.46 | $0.299 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No | buy | 32.21 | $0.385 | $12.4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 17.26 | $0.591 | $10.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming | buy | 34.6 | $0.289 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?No | buy | 22.95 | $0.440 | $10.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 78.74 | $0.254 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 11.89 | $0.942 | $11.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsAnyones Legend | buy | 11.1 | $0.910 | $10.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 72.39 | $0.138 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 71.76 | $0.170 | $12.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.096 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 21.3 | $0.540 | $11.5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.929 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 18?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 30.96 | $0.323 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsMovistar KOI | buy | 23.9 | $0.590 | $14.1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 84.76 | $0.118 | $10 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 170 | $0.060 | $10.2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Valorant: Coalesce vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group ACoalesce | buy | 16.81 | $0.690 | $11.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsTop Esports | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | buy | 30.81 | $0.370 | $11.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 93.03 | $0.107 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No | buy | 110.31 | $0.097 | $10.7 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 3?Yes | buy | 16.56 | $0.785 | $13 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.03 | $0.285 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?No | buy | 50.46 | $0.218 | $11 | Feb 1, 2026 |