Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.424 | $1.95 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.900 |
| $3 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.868 | $4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.560 | $0.74 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.47 | $0.930 | $10.67 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 5?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 3?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 27-November 2?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.944 | $1.54K | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.945 | $1.54K | Oct 31, 2025 |
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.999 | $1.96K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.998 | $1.96K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 30?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.06K | $0.925 | $1.9K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.925 | $1.9K | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 19?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 19?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 19?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 2?No | buy | 510 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 2?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.015 | $0.1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 0.01 | $0.994 | $0.01 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will either candidate concede by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.990 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in November?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.760 | $0.03 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in November?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.640 | $0.03 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in November?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.570 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.720 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.880 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.940 | $0.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
$100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Nov 4, 2024 |
$100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
$100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Nov 4, 2024 |
$100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
$100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.002 | $0.22 | Nov 3, 2024 |
$100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.003 | $0.14 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.010 | $0.45 | Oct 30, 2024 |