Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 86.49 | $0.650 | $56.22 | 20d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 18.21 |
| $0.140 |
| $2.55 |
| Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 51.55 | $0.050 | $2.58 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 51.56 | $0.090 | $4.64 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 93.69 | $0.036 | $3.37 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.83 | $0.024 | $0.21 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.040 | $1.05 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.120 | $1.06 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.160 | $3.72 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 UFC 317: Diniz vs. HinesHines | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraOliveira | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 27.37 | $0.006 | $0.16 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.035 | $0.29 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.033 | $0.33 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.035 | $0.58 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.008 | $0.55 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 21.74 | $0.430 | $9.35 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.027 | $0.64 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.014 | $0.26 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.008 | $2.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.006 | $0.55 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.001 | $5.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 328.89 | $0.009 | $2.84 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 437.18 | $0.011 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 48.78 | $0.770 | $37.56 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | buy | 15.81 | $0.160 | $2.53 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | sell | 17.1 | $0.850 | $14.54 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | buy | 17.11 | $0.840 | $14.37 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.121 | $14.37 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 13.86 | $0.360 | $4.99 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 105.83 | $0.012 | $1.27 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 124.44 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Jun 22, 2025 |