Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.405 | $11.8 | -$4.4 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 18.52 |
| $0.540 |
| $8.61 |
| -$1.39 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 10 | $0.280 | $2.65 | -$0.15 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.826 | $0.36 | -$3.77 |
| buy |
| 25.13 |
| $0.796 |
| $20 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.022 | $1.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5 | $0.962 | $4.81 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
 Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 2.05 | $0.650 | $1.33 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 103.61 | $0.290 | $30.05 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 126.68 | $0.380 | $48.14 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 2.2 | $0.440 | $0.97 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.094 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 47.43 | $0.100 | $4.74 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.064 | $6.4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 78 | $0.063 | $4.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.062 | $1.55 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 56.41 | $0.061 | $3.44 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.030 | $0.12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Yes | sell | 72.72 | $0.480 | $34.91 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Yes | buy | 72.73 | $0.220 | $16 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.819 | $20.47 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $228 in March?Yes | buy | 86.35 | $0.042 | $3.63 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $220 in February?Yes | sell | 143.41 | $0.058 | $8.36 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 3.98 | $0.247 | $0.98 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.79 | $0.540 | $0.97 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 4.11 | $0.255 | $1.05 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of February?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 4.12 | $0.243 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $190?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $190?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?No | buy | 10 | $0.897 | $8.97 | Feb 12, 2026 |