Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.500 | $0.98 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 8.07 |
| $0.123 |
| $0.99 |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.269 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 36.66 | $0.040 | $1.47 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.124 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.089 | $0.98 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.091 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.079 | $0.99 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.400 | $0.98 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 4.87 | $0.400 | $1.95 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.37 | $0.920 | $2.18 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.930 | $1.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.98 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2AM ETDown | sell | 1.14 | $0.870 | $0.99 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2AM ETDown | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.018 | $0.95 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.017 | $0.94 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.048 | $0.96 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 109.47 | $0.017 | $1.86 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 109.47 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.048 | $0.96 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.100 | $0.91 | Jan 7, 2026 |