Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? | No | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8.24 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.18 |
| $0.966 |
| $5.02 |
| +$0.02 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? | No | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4.27 | +$0.27 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 4.33 | $0.951 | $4.25 | +$0.13 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | No | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? | No | 4.3 | $0.930 | $3.4 | -$0.6 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? | No | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | No | 3.41 | $0.880 | $2.98 | -$0.02 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $0.73 | -$4.27 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? | No | 3.69 | $0.813 | $0.03 | -$2.97 |
| buy |
| 3.69 |
| $0.813 |
| $3 |
| May 18, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in May?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?Yes | buy | 15.48 | $0.969 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.878 | $9 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.981 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.884 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 1?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on May 1?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start end in a draw?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert HurkaczHubert Hurkacz | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva | buy | 14.16 | $0.777 | $11 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.969 | $12 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?No | buy | 30.15 | $0.995 | $30 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 51.33 | $0.972 | $49.89 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.975 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.945 | $13 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?Yes | buy | 8.43 | $0.830 | $7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.947 | $7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.17 | $0.989 | $15 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.951 | $4.12 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 51.33 | $0.974 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 28.95 | $0.910 | $26.34 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will McDonald’s be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?No | buy | 60.18 | $0.997 | $60 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did US Refuel Israeli Aircraft in the Qatar Strike?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.870 | $11 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.988 | $20 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Jul 24, 2025 |