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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 8.15 | $0.790 | $7.78 | +$1.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 13.62 | $0.726 | $9.89 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 58.41 |
| $0.020 |
| $1.87 |
| +$0.68 |
| sell |
| 11.49 |
| $0.910 |
| $10.46 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.36 | $0.992 | $24.17 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.670 | $0.13 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 13.62 | $0.734 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 0.78 | $0.670 | $0.52 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.680 | $3.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.870 | $0.67 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.860 | $0.33 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 2.86 | $0.870 | $2.49 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.700 | $1.58 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.990 | $0.4 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.41 | $0.990 | $4.37 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.94 | $0.011 | $0.12 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.009 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.997 | $0.49 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.240 | $0.85 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.240 | $0.85 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.240 | $0.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.994 | $1.36 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.994 | $0.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.994 | $0.11 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.660 | $19.41 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.994 | $1.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.994 | $0.11 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.989 | $0.36 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.987 | $0.62 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.987 | $0.04 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.970 | $4.75 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.970 | $3.16 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.971 | $4.76 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.988 | $0.9 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.989 | $0.23 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.990 | $0.13 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.990 | $2.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.993 | $1.13 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60.02 | $0.018 | $1.11 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.4 | $0.022 | $0.23 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.983 | $0.36 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.142 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.710 | $0.11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.710 | $0.11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.710 | $0.11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.710 | $1.18 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.722 | $0.07 | Jun 20, 2026 |