Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.55K | $0.494 | $3.43K | -$291.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 69.36 | $0.470 | $32.6 | 10h ago |
|
| sell |
| 8.8K |
| $0.004 |
| $35.19 |
| 10h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.005 | $14.88 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.95K | $0.490 | $2.92K | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 822.5 | $0.004 | $3.29 | 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.510 | $679.02 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 193.88 | $0.500 | $96.94 | 3d ago |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 52.14 | $0.570 | $29.72 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 52.14 | $0.210 | $10.95 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 253.05 | $0.042 | $10.72 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 411.81 | $0.024 | $10 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | sell | 530.85 | $0.012 | $6.39 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 530.86 | $0.070 | $37.16 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 21.46K | $0.920 | $19.74K | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.46K | $0.792 | $16.99K | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 9.47K | $0.002 | $18.94 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 526.31 | $0.036 | $18.95 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.038 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 13.35K | $0.931 | $12.43K | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | sell | 12.45K | $0.998 | $12.43K | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 12.45K | $0.844 | $10.51K | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 10.52K | $0.999 | $10.51K | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 10.52K | $0.880 | $9.26K | Jul 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.94K | $0.950 | $12.29K | May 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.94K | $0.860 | $11.13K | May 11, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?No | buy | 4.65K | $0.046 | $213.73 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | sell | 237.48 | $0.900 | $213.73 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | buy | 237.49 | $0.450 | $106.87 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 712.5 | $0.150 | $106.88 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 712.5 | $0.160 | $114 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.075 | $114.42 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.300 | $493.83 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.34K | $0.609 | $9.95K | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.14 | $0.690 | $71.17 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 11.23K | $0.010 | $112.28 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | sell | 4.67K | $0.291 | $1.36K | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.236 | $593.06 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.275 | $593.48 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will there be another debate?No | buy | 8.54K | $0.684 | $5.85K | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.93K | $0.475 | $5.67K | Sep 22, 2024 |