Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.910 | $5.66 | May 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 8.72 |
| $0.930 |
| $8.11 |
| May 8, 2026 |
 Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes | sell | 7.49 | $0.820 | $6.14 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?No | sell | 7.43 | $0.824 | $6.12 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.890 | $6.62 | May 6, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?Up | buy | 7.13 | $0.905 | $6.45 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | sell | 6.56 | $0.920 | $6.04 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes | buy | 7.49 | $0.890 | $6.67 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.880 | $5.78 | May 6, 2026 |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6?Up | buy | 8.9 | $0.930 | $8.28 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No | sell | 9.98 | $0.779 | $7.77 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.859 | $8.58 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.920 | $5.87 | May 5, 2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?Up | buy | 8.72 | $0.967 | $8.43 | May 5, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?Up | buy | 9.26 | $0.880 | $8.15 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.781 | $5.51 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | sell | 9.89 | $0.808 | $7.99 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.861 | $6.08 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.881 | $8.72 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.967 | $8.68 | May 4, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?Up | buy | 7.11 | $0.930 | $6.61 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.770 | $6.16 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.860 | $6.88 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.61 | $0.920 | $6.08 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.900 | $8.72 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.969 | $6.04 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.966 | $8.66 | May 2, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?Up | sell | 9.62 | $0.869 | $8.36 | May 1, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?Down | buy | 6.35 | $0.978 | $6.21 | May 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?Up | sell | 6.63 | $0.889 | $5.89 | May 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?Up | buy | 6.64 | $0.970 | $6.44 | May 1, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?Up | buy | 9.63 | $0.960 | $9.24 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.980 | $9.24 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.54 | $0.822 | $8.67 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.55 | $0.910 | $9.6 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.84 | $0.958 | $5.59 | May 1, 2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?Up | buy | 6.15 | $0.967 | $5.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 30?Up | buy | 6.04 | $0.960 | $5.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.965 | $5.77 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.65 | $0.780 | $5.19 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.946 | $6.06 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 7.98 | $0.750 | $5.99 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.65 | $0.920 | $6.12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.663 | $8.49 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.84 | $0.900 | $5.26 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.98 | $0.947 | $7.56 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.845 | $10.83 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on April 28?Yes | sell | 11.16 | $0.999 | $11.15 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on April 28?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.999 | $10.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |