Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.540 | $14.03 | +$5.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.559 | $4.84 | Aug 11, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 12.83 |
| $0.738 |
| $12.25 |
| +$2.78 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 11.16 | $0.885 | $10.9 | +$1.03 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 10.24 | $0.960 | $9.93 | +$0.11 |
 Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | Yes | 11.22 | $0.880 | $9.59 | -$0.28 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.840 | $9.54 | +$1.14 |
 StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 14.7 | $0.340 | $9.04 | +$4.04 |
 Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 13.88 | $0.360 | $8.74 | +$3.75 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 7.46 | $0.660 | $7.33 | +$2.41 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 21.73 | $0.220 | $6.41 | +$1.63 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 8.19 | $0.600 | $6.35 | +$1.43 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 6.62 | $0.750 | $5.92 | +$0.96 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.640 | $5.92 | +$1 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.59 | +$0.6 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 11.17 | $0.440 | $5.53 | +$0.61 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.17 | $0.800 | $5.52 | +$0.59 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 5.68 | $0.870 | $5.51 | +$0.57 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.32 | $0.780 | $5.5 | +$0.57 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.84 | $0.442 | $5.46 | +$0.67 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.44 | $0.899 | $5.35 | +$0.46 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 6.76 | $0.730 | $5.34 | +$0.41 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.69 | $0.870 | $5.26 | +$0.31 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 6.25 | $0.790 | $5.16 | +$0.22 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.840 | $5.15 | +$0.21 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.900 | $5.13 | +$0.19 |
| buy |
| 10.84 |
| $0.442 |
| $4.79 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.999 | $6.74 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.58 | $0.600 | $6.95 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.927 | $4.98 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.920 | $4.94 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.620 | $4.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.620 | $4.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.963 | $4.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.963 | $4.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 23.8 | $0.208 | $4.95 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 26.31 | $0.190 | $4.99 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 14.7 | $0.330 | $4.85 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.999 | $6.08 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.999 | $5.67 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.920 | $4.88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.870 | $4.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.600 | $4.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.745 | $4.92 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.890 | $5.11 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Daemon Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.970 | $4.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.440 | $3.86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.730 | $4.93 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.920 | $4.94 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.810 | $4.93 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.840 | $4.94 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 6.42 | $0.999 | $6.41 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.999 | $8.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 12.22 | $0.160 | $1.96 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.250 | $4.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.51 | $0.260 | $4.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.947 | $4.92 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.61 | $0.420 | $4.88 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.878 | $4.89 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.999 | $7.92 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.560 | $4.91 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.690 | $4.75 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.62 | $0.420 | $4.88 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.87 | $0.265 | $1.03 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.260 | $3.12 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.33 | $0.260 | $5.03 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.956 | $4.9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 7.91 | $0.585 | $4.63 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.623 | $4.89 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.999 | $7.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Dana White in August?Yes | sell | 2.69 | $0.950 | $2.56 | Aug 5, 2026 |