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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?Yes | buy | 939.1 | $0.972 | $913.26 | Mar 3, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 52.65 |
| $0.121 |
| $6.37 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?Yes | buy | 52.66 | $0.950 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.73 | $0.755 | $75.29 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?Yes | buy | 50.92 | $0.982 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 99.73 | $0.501 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?Yes | sell | 50.15 | $0.990 | $49.66 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?Yes | buy | 50.16 | $0.997 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 50.51 | $0.990 | $50 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | sell | 51.64 | $0.995 | $51.38 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| GPT ads by March 31?Yes | buy | 51.65 | $0.968 | $50 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 151.51 | $0.270 | $40.91 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 52.91 | $0.995 | $52.65 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.91 | $0.945 | $50 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the February meeting?No | buy | 50.12 | $0.998 | $50 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 53.19 | $0.910 | $48.4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 58.13 | $0.880 | $51.15 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 60.97 | $0.810 | $49.39 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.360 | $39.13 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 81.58 | $0.510 | $41.61 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 81.59 | $0.613 | $50 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.259 | $37.01 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | sell | 67.47 | $0.666 | $44.96 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 67.47 | $0.741 | $50 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 52.85 | $0.925 | $48.87 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 52.85 | $0.946 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?Trump Announce Fed | sell | 60.97 | $0.936 | $57.1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?Trump Announce Fed | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?No | sell | 52.7 | $0.966 | $50.93 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.7 | $0.949 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1)Yes | buy | 50.12 | $0.998 | $50 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 106.28 | $0.427 | $45.39 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Another Canada election called by June 30?No | sell | 67.97 | $0.620 | $42.14 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 107.41 | $0.457 | $49.05 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 107.41 | $0.466 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Another Canada election called by June 30?No | buy | 67.97 | $0.736 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 106.29 | $0.470 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?No | sell | 64.48 | $0.766 | $49.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?No | buy | 64.49 | $0.775 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | sell | 65.78 | $0.610 | $40.13 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | sell | 53.47 | $0.931 | $49.78 | Jan 26, 2026 |