Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 518.83 | $0.702 | $357.99 | -$6.13 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
| Yes |
| 351.97 |
| $0.658 |
| $337.19 |
| +$105.68 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 320.16 | $0.888 | $283.34 | -$0.89 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | No | 222.36 | $0.718 | $210.13 | +$50.51 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 282.37 | $0.732 | $168.01 | -$38.61 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 236.41 | $0.718 | $160.76 | -$8.9 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 151.5 | $0.660 | $121.2 | +$21.21 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 301.25 | $0.352 | $106.94 | +$0.76 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 270 | $0.470 | $98.55 | -$28.38 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.865 | $94.25 | +$7.75 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 415.41 | $0.255 | $93.47 | -$12.36 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 149.96 | $0.665 | $78.73 | -$20.99 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 322.5 | $0.263 | $75.79 | -$9.12 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 158.58 | $0.561 | $72.15 | -$16.82 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 419 | $0.142 | $64.95 | +$5.41 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 157.56 | $0.596 | $58.69 | -$35.25 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 67.61 | $0.370 | $57.81 | +$32.79 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 130.43 | $0.547 | $51.52 | -$19.8 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 210 | $0.205 | $48.3 | +$5.25 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | No | 40 | $0.795 | $39.14 | +$7.34 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.650 | $38.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | Yes | 699.99 | $0.080 | $31.5 | -$24.5 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 79.98 | $0.273 | $25.99 | +$4.13 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 185.14 | $0.292 | $22.22 | -$31.87 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.700 | $21.45 | +$0.45 |