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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 10.25 | $0.780 | $8.82 | +$0.82 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 14.25 | $0.560 | $7.98 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.2 |
| $0.640 |
| $8.65 |
| +$0.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.01 | $0.720 | $7.87 | -$0.06 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 14.03 | $0.440 | $6.94 | +$0.77 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.87 | $0.670 | $5.7 | +$0.43 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.740 | $5.42 | +$0.98 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 6.49 | $0.770 | $3.93 | -$1.07 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.6 | $0.420 | $3.84 | +$0.65 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.85 | $0.474 | $3.42 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 10.52 | $0.250 | $3.05 | +$0.42 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.68 | $0.500 | $2.43 | -$5.41 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.210 | $1.85 | -$0.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $1.45 | -$0.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.33 | -$0.38 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 10.25 | $0.240 | $1.08 | -$1.38 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.210 | $0.49 | -$1.09 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.220 |
| $1.32 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.420 | $3.19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $90 Week of June 15 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.270 | $1.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No | buy | 11.25 | $0.480 | $5.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.71 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.320 | $3.68 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.85 | $0.474 | $3.72 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.2 | $0.640 | $8.45 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.670 | $5.27 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | May 16, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 533.33 | $0.015 | $8 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 8.81 | $0.675 | $5.95 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.780 | $5.53 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.240 | $2.46 | May 12, 2026 |
 Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 12?Up | buy | 12 | $0.370 | $4.44 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.380 | $4.75 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | May 11, 2026 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 11?Down | buy | 12.19 | $0.620 | $7.56 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.39 | $0.740 | $8.43 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.211 | $1.33 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.68 | $0.500 | $7.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 10.66 | $0.750 | $8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.710 | $5.82 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.370 | $3.8 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No | buy | 8.59 | $0.680 | $5.84 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 14.28 | $0.560 | $8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 22?Up | buy | 13.05 | $0.540 | $7.05 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes | buy | 6.69 | $0.730 | $4.89 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.780 | $8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.460 | $4.18 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No | buy | 11.66 | $0.410 | $4.78 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.400 | $3.28 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.5B and $13.0B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7.22 | $0.230 | $1.66 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?Yes | buy | 10.38 | $0.240 | $2.49 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 10?Down | buy | 15.05 | $0.500 | $7.53 | Apr 10, 2026 |