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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 150.66 | $0.989 | $150.58 | +$1.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 134.36 | $0.975 | $131 | 22d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 173.91 |
| $0.989 |
| $172 |
| 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 150.66 | $0.989 | $149 | 22d ago |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 159.99 | $0.969 | $155 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | buy | 166.16 | $0.993 | $165 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 125.13 | $0.967 | $121 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 176.29 | $0.987 | $174 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 180 | $0.995 | $179.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 256.94 | $0.973 | $250 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 187.31 | $0.993 | $186 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 205.34 | $0.974 | $200 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.966 | $230 | May 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 191.15 | $0.994 | $190 | May 17, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?No | buy | 142.04 | $0.986 | $140 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 280.77 | $0.983 | $276 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?Yes | buy | 133.8 | $0.967 | $129.38 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 161.94 | $0.988 | $160 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.996 | $149.4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 281.78 | $0.976 | $275 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 122.74 | $0.994 | $122 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Yes | buy | 146.91 | $0.987 | $145 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?No | buy | 246.49 | $0.990 | $244 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 121.11 | $0.991 | $120 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 274.55 | $0.947 | $260 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?No | buy | 124.37 | $0.997 | $124 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 212.06 | $0.995 | $211 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 169.68 | $0.996 | $169 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in November?No | buy | 173.7 | $0.996 | $173 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 4?No | buy | 172.03 | $0.994 | $171 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 203.87 | $0.981 | $200 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 302.61 | $0.998 | $302 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?No | buy | 66.6 | $0.991 | $66 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 325.58 | $0.860 | $280 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 70.78 | $0.989 | $70 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 160.97 | $0.994 | $160 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $113K on August 7 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 August 4–10?No | buy | 155.74 | $0.995 | $155 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Solana above $170 on July 18?Yes | buy | 274.27 | $0.999 | $274 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.992 | $198.4 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?No | buy | 78.31 | $0.996 | $78 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 261.83 | $0.993 | $260 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?Yes | buy | 170.17 | $0.999 | $170 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $23m or more but less than $26m opening weekend?No | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?No | buy | 310.31 | $0.999 | $310 | May 16, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 23?Up | buy | 316.33 | $0.980 | $310 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high in April?No | sell | 300 | $0.945 | $283.5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high in April?No | buy | 320.06 | $0.990 | $317 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in March?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | Apr 10, 2025 |