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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.61 | $0.860 | $0.52 | Jan 22, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 12.39 |
| $0.040 |
| $0.5 |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.11 | $0.150 | $3.47 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.760 | $4.32 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.410 | $12.81 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?No | sell | 17.38 | $0.870 | $15.12 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.790 | $19.27 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7PM ETDown | buy | 10.64 | $0.430 | $4.58 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7PM ETDown | buy | 10.87 | $0.430 | $4.67 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7PM ETUp | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7PM ETUp | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 9PM ETUp | buy | 21.74 | $0.220 | $4.78 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETDown | buy | 7.58 | $0.640 | $4.85 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETUp | buy | 10.42 | $0.430 | $4.48 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.490 | $4.8 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETDown | buy | 9.62 | $0.480 | $4.62 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETUp | buy | 10.87 | $0.410 | $4.46 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETUp | buy | 10.64 | $0.400 | $4.26 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.410 | $4.02 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 10PM ETDown | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10PM ETDown | buy | 14.29 | $0.310 | $4.43 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 10PM ETDown | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 2PM ETDown | buy | 8.47 | $0.570 | $4.83 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2PM ETUp | buy | 12.2 | $0.390 | $4.76 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2PM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.390 | $4.88 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 2PM ETDown | buy | 7.58 | $0.630 | $4.78 | Dec 31, 2025 |
US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 18.23 | $0.987 | $18 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.963 | $1.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 18.69 | $0.963 | $18 | Dec 31, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.966 | $1.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 18.65 | $0.965 | $18 | Dec 31, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.962 | $1.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 18.71 | $0.962 | $18 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.580 | $1.6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.03 | $0.580 | $18 | Dec 30, 2025 |
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.590 | $1.6 | Dec 29, 2025 |