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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | No | 165.11 | $0.720 | $156.85 | +$37.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.140 | $0 | 9h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 162.66 |
| $0.810 |
| $126.06 |
| -$5.64 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 228.64 | $0.560 | $120.04 | -$8 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 142.85 | $0.603 | $92.14 | +$6.05 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 160.3 | $0.522 | $82.55 | -$1.1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 73.57 | $0.850 | $63.64 | +$1.1 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 82.07 | $0.650 | $52.11 | -$1.23 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 53.15 | $0.981 | $51.87 | -$0.25 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 69.08 | $0.710 | $51.46 | +$2.42 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 127.13 | $0.186 | $51.11 | +$27.49 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80.92 | $0.580 | $37.63 | -$9.31 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 37.18 | $0.640 | $35.51 | +$11.71 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 183.72 | $0.142 | $26.64 | +$0.49 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | No | 27.39 | $0.950 | $25.88 | -$0.14 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 64.99 | $0.331 | $21.45 | -$0.09 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 27.34 | $0.517 | $20.92 | +$6.77 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 148.3 | $0.310 | $20.02 | -$25.95 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 22.71 | $0.840 | $19.64 | +$0.57 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 40.03 | $0.482 | $19.01 | -$0.3 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 66.33 | $0.280 | $18.24 | -$0.33 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 34.78 | $0.440 | $15.48 | +$0.17 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 190.39 | $0.180 | $14.28 | -$19.99 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | Yes | 15.04 | $0.920 | $14.21 | +$0.38 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 94.17 | $0.134 | $14.13 | +$1.5 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 14.35 | $0.953 | $13.59 | -$0.09 |
| sell |
| 23.23 |
| $0.150 |
| $3.48 |
| 9h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 23.24 | $0.150 | $3.49 | 10h ago |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 10h ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.800 | $4.26 | 10h ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 160.3 | $0.522 | $83.66 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 90.32 | $0.610 | $55.1 | 10h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 23.27 | $0.593 | $13.81 | 12h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | sell | 9.12 | $0.964 | $8.79 | 12h ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 6.16 | $0.840 | $5.17 | 14h ago |
| Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 104.73 | $0.850 | $89.02 | 14h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 40.03 | $0.483 | $19.31 | 16h ago |
 Will Trump say "Wall" this week?Yes | buy | 19.59 | $0.990 | $19.39 | 16h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.17 | $0.210 | $4.45 | 17h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.720 | $7.21 | 17h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 155.1 | $0.720 | $111.67 | 17h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 9.12 | $0.970 | $8.85 | 17h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 40.15 | $0.316 | $12.7 | 17h ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.2 | $0.190 | $3.08 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | sell | 53.9 | $0.740 | $39.89 | 21h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.83 | $0.640 | $4.37 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.590 | $4.09 | 22h ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.86 | $0.150 | $5.08 | 23h ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.150 | $1.4 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 69.08 | $0.710 | $49.05 | 1d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.120 | $1.22 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.13 | $0.110 | $12 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.140 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 133.28 | $0.140 | $18.66 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.120 | $1.25 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.09 | $0.110 | $0.45 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 207.21 | $0.940 | $194.78 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 51.07 | $0.921 | $47.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 37.18 | $0.950 | $35.32 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 54.33 | $0.590 | $32.05 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 95.57 | $0.585 | $55.92 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.600 | $3.54 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.600 | $3.23 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.600 | $3.24 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.52 | $0.600 | $6.91 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 80.17 | $0.610 | $48.9 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.300 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 35.7 | $0.296 | $10.58 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.320 | $0.19 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.320 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.310 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.310 | $0.4 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 37.76 | $0.350 | $13.22 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 22.71 | $0.840 | $19.08 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.17 | $0.250 | $5.29 | 1d ago |