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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.54 | $0.570 | $8.82 | -$1.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.077 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.09 |
| $0.496 |
| $6.41 |
| +$1.41 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 129.87 | $0.077 | $4.61 | -$5.39 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $50 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.496 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 169.6 | $0.440 | $74.62 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 56.13 | $0.178 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 169.6 | $0.480 | $81.41 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.830 | $1.6 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.997 | $1.25 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 59.41 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.953 | $1.98 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.972 | $2.21 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum close above $2800 on July 31?Yes | sell | 13.35 | $0.985 | $13.15 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.780 | $5.09 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Boxing: Alana vs Ari GeliAlana | buy | 2 | $0.700 | $1.4 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Boxing: TheGrefg vs WestcolWestcol | buy | 13.39 | $0.187 | $2.5 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.430 | $2.5 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.168 | $2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum close above $2800 on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.850 | $1.11 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Yoon out of custody by August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum close above $2800 on July 31?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before August?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.156 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.819 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.810 | $1.69 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party before October?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump jail Elon Musk?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.957 | $1.2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |