Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 87.3 | $0.989 | $86.34 | 13d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 86.34 |
| $0.977 |
| $84.35 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 82.49 | $0.920 | $75.89 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 75.89 | $0.978 | $74.22 | May 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 74.23 | $0.966 | $71.71 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 94.35 | $0.760 | $71.71 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 94.35 | $0.900 | $84.91 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 84.91 | $0.930 | $78.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 79.77 | $0.990 | $78.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 79.77 | $0.989 | $78.89 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 78.89 | $0.983 | $77.55 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 77.55 | $0.917 | $71.11 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 71.11 | $0.999 | $71.04 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 73.16 | $0.971 | $71.04 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 73.16 | $0.926 | $67.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 67.75 | $0.995 | $67.41 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 67.41 | $0.994 | $67.01 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 67.01 | $0.990 | $66.34 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 64.21 | $0.999 | $64.15 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 69.31 | $0.907 | $62.86 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 56.38 | $0.836 | $47.13 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.790 | $51.35 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | buy | 98.48 | $0.993 | $97.79 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 100.5 | $0.973 | $97.79 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 100.5 | $0.986 | $99.09 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 54.99 | $0.930 | $51.14 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 503.48 | $0.920 | $463.2 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.940 | $51.7 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 106.31 | $0.965 | $102.59 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 213.64 | $0.964 | $205.95 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will another player win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris get 68-70m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 123.88 | $0.982 | $121.65 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.949 | $81.61 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.920 | $55.2 | Nov 27, 2024 |