Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 28.27K | $0.833 | $27.48K | +$3.94K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 500.34 | $0.067 | $33.52 | Mar 2, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 21.39K |
| $0.485 |
| $20K |
| +$9.61K |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 6.46K | $0.730 | $5.98K | +$1.26K |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 6K | $0.780 | $5.62K | +$939 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 3.67K | $0.610 | $3.31K | +$1.07K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.55K | $0.779 | $2.18K | +$193.06 |
| buy |
| 174.32 |
| $0.067 |
| $11.6 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5.27K | $0.066 | $347.87 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 3.36K | $0.065 | $218.18 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 6.06K | $0.064 | $388.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.29K | $0.870 | $10.69K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 28.27K | $0.833 | $23.54K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 3.12K | $0.730 | $2.28K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 375.16 | $0.639 | $239.68 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 2.39K | $0.288 | $688.01 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 2.45K | $0.340 | $830.37 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 1.88K | $0.291 | $547.25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 7.12K | $0.835 | $5.95K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 49.73K | $0.828 | $41.18K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 25.52K | $0.624 | $15.93K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 42.87K | $0.066 | $2.85K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 21.2K | $0.486 | $10.3K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.377 | $494.45 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.800 | $1.37K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.572 | $1.29K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.55K | $0.779 | $1.99K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 24.79K | $0.566 | $14.04K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.800 | $1.38K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.760 | $3.8K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 246.65 | $0.700 | $172.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.699 | $3.49K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 17.96K | $0.760 | $13.65K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 15.93K | $0.780 | $12.42K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.440 | $5.28K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.376 | $933.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 21.67K | $0.772 | $16.72K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.350 | $1.75K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.319 | $420.77 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.310 | $15.5K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 28K | $0.300 | $8.4K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 24.96K | $0.778 | $19.41K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 132.24K | $0.223 | $29.5K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.67K | $0.715 | $4.05K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.76K | $0.201 | $23.68K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.63K | $0.702 | $20.09K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.180 | $546.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 190.26K | $0.156 | $29.6K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.26K | $0.170 | $32.34K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.38K | $0.570 | $20.17K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.65K | $0.548 | $14.05K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.53K | $0.664 | $34.9K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 120.86K | $0.138 | $16.66K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.05K | $0.150 | $16.08K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.39K | $0.666 | $31.57K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.35K | $0.649 | $13.21K | Feb 27, 2026 |