Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump resign before 2027?No | sell | 3.51 | $0.962 | $3.38 | Aug 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.51 |
| $0.940 |
| $3.3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.966 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.973 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.930 | $3.03 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.973 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.979 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Edmundo González return to Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.929 | $1.22 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.933 | $1.35 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams be removed as NYC mayor?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.957 | $2.01 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3PM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams be removed as NYC mayor?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.959 | $1.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.758 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Bill Ackman announce a new candidate for NYC Mayor before July?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.880 | $1.95 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.982 | $2.18 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Bonnie Blue unbanned on OnlyFans in June?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.973 | $2.36 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Bonnie Blue unbanned on OnlyFans in June?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Iran behind June 12 internet outages?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.991 | $2.02 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.910 | $2.14 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump suspend habeas corpus before July?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.957 | $2.17 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump suspend habeas corpus before July?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US before July?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.941 | $1.92 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.750 | $1.79 | May 11, 2025 |
 China bans US films before July?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.957 | $1.97 | May 11, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on June 1?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.966 | $1.99 | May 11, 2025 |
| Trump approval >40% on June 1?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will U.S. tourism decline in April?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Xi visit the US before July?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
| China bans US films before July?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |