Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.040 | $0.33 | 14d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.38 |
| $0.420 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.06 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | Yes | 28.28 | $0.035 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 11.49 | $0.087 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 78.46 | $0.013 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| sell |
| 11.36 |
| $0.037 |
| $0.42 |
| 14d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | buy | 28.28 | $0.035 | $1 | 14d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.177 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.46 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.92 | $0.343 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.173 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.2 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.280 | $6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.087 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.98 | $0.070 | $0.42 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.167 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Courage" or "Brave" during events with Rutte?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Courage" or "Brave" during events with Rutte?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.734 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.143 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.950 | $1.45 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.398 | $0.69 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.210 | $1.1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.574 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |