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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 733.45 | $0.290 | $212.7 | May 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 10.06 |
| $0.994 |
| $10 |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 36.02 | $0.810 | $29.18 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?No | sell | 31.57 | $0.924 | $29.18 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 20.92 | $0.987 | $20.65 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 30.18 | $0.994 | $30 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 19.31 | $0.998 | $19.27 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?No | buy | 55.08 | $0.908 | $50 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Solana above $255 on November 29?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.964 | $21.18 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before December?No | sell | 47.31 | $0.950 | $44.94 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.980 | $10.42 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 12.57 | $0.860 | $10.81 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Benjamin Netanyahu arrested in 2024?No | buy | 20.49 | $0.976 | $20 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 20.3 | $0.985 | $20 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 30.83 | $0.973 | $30 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Iran strike on Israel before December?No | buy | 22.31 | $0.900 | $20.08 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?Yes | buy | 49.95 | $0.976 | $48.75 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Iran strike on Israel before December?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 20.66 | $0.968 | $20 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Miami?Yes | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.990 | $10.43 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Diddy released from custody before November?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31?No | buy | 20.42 | $0.996 | $20.34 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.995 | $13.69 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?No | buy | 20.35 | $0.983 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 30.18 | $0.994 | $30 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?No | buy | 20.68 | $0.967 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 5% before election?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 U.S. military strike on Lebanon before November?No | buy | 20.73 | $0.965 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza before November?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Iran military response before October?Yes | buy | 57.11 | $0.149 | $8.51 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Iran military response before October?No | sell | 10 | $0.851 | $8.51 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.966 | $38.76 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Iran military response before October?No | buy | 51.55 | $0.970 | $50 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by September 30?No | buy | 50.25 | $0.995 | $50 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?No | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Disney sues over Grok copyright in August?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift sue Trump over fake endorsement?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Aug 27, 2024 |