Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 4.51 | $0.886 | $4.36 | +$0.36 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?Down | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.5 |
| $0.800 |
| $2.35 |
| +$0.35 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.29 | $0.875 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.540 | $1.86 | -$0.14 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| sell |
| 10.81 |
| $0.190 |
| $2.05 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.022 | $0.16 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.994 | $1.08 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.995 | $1.32 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 12.48 | $0.620 | $7.74 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?Down | sell | 7.75 | $0.999 | $7.74 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.500 | $2.28 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.976 | $2.37 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | sell | 3 | $0.970 | $2.91 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?Down | buy | 7.76 | $0.985 | $7.64 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | sell | 8.12 | $0.941 | $7.64 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 8.11 | $0.880 | $7.14 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Kristi Noem out by March 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | sell | 3.75 | $0.890 | $3.34 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | sell | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 7.82 | $0.830 | $6.49 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 5.94 | $0.830 | $4.93 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.942 | $1.83 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.260 | $0.46 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.120 | $0.86 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Stacy Rogers win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.987 | $1.7 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.990 | $1.18 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.995 | $3.64 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?Up | buy | 6.49 | $0.950 | $6.17 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.714 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?Up | sell | 10.18 | $0.999 | $10.17 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?Up | buy | 10.18 | $0.930 | $9.47 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |