Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 11.13 | $0.969 | $11.04 | +$0.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.170 | $1.18 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 9.88 |
| $0.950 |
| $9.44 |
| +$0.05 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 9.29 | $0.984 | $9.22 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.34 | $0.560 | $8.6 | +$1.13 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 10.31 | $0.840 | $8.56 | -$0.1 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 8.19 | $0.980 | $7.86 | -$0.17 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 8.81 | $0.810 | $7.62 | +$0.48 |
 Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 9.38 | $0.840 | $7.46 | -$0.42 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 9.84 | $0.670 | $6.93 | +$0.34 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 32.56 | $0.039 | $6.25 | +$4.98 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 5.87 | $0.739 | $5.63 | +$1.29 |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 7.48 | $0.820 | $3.03 | -$3.1 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 14.13 | $0.080 | $2.75 | +$1.62 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | Yes | 10.04 | $0.270 | $2.26 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? | No | 9.89 | $0.180 | $1.68 | -$0.1 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.100 | $1.56 | +$0.31 |
 Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | No | 37.65 | $0.034 | $0.9 | -$0.38 |
 Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 11.45 | $0.110 | $0.74 | -$0.52 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.67 | $0.150 | $0.64 | -$0.96 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 420 | $0.003 | $0.42 | -$0.84 |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 20.51 | $0.020 | $0.11 | -$0.3 |
| buy |
| 7.57 |
| $0.790 |
| $5.98 |
| 6h ago |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.440 | $3.77 | 1d ago |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.720 | $6.18 | 1d ago |
 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenAlex Michelsen | buy | 8.95 | $0.420 | $3.76 | 1d ago |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes | buy | 7.48 | $0.820 | $6.13 | 6d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.840 | $8.66 | 6d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 11 | $0.930 | $10.23 | 6d ago |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 12.23 | $0.860 | $10.52 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No | buy | 9.29 | $0.984 | $9.14 | 8d ago |
| Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.840 | $7.88 | 11d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 11 | $0.940 | $10.34 | 14d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.19 | $0.650 | $7.27 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.19 | $0.680 | $7.61 | 17d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.080 | $1.13 | 17d ago |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.880 | $10.77 | 19d ago |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.100 | $1.25 | 19d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.180 | $1.78 | 21d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?No | buy | 37.65 | $0.034 | $1.28 | 23d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.34 | $0.560 | $7.47 | 26d ago |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.003 | $1.26 | 27d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 32.56 | $0.039 | $1.27 | 28d ago |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 20.51 | $0.020 | $0.41 | 28d ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | sell | 6.74 | $0.097 | $0.65 | 28d ago |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | sell | 9.87 | $0.950 | $9.38 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 9.71 | $0.967 | $9.39 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | buy | 9.88 | $0.960 | $9.48 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8.86 | $0.670 | $5.94 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.730 | $7.78 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes | sell | 2.48 | $0.830 | $2.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?No | buy | 11.82 | $0.987 | $11.67 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | sell | 10.69 | $0.360 | $3.85 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.243 | $1.64 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 8.81 | $0.810 | $7.14 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 9.71 | $0.940 | $9.13 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.958 | $8.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.955 | $8.36 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 10.22 | $0.700 | $7.15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 10.69 | $0.390 | $4.17 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.86 | $0.580 | $5.14 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | sell | 7.68 | $0.360 | $2.76 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.450 | $2.14 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 8.9 | $0.959 | $8.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.500 | $3.84 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 9.62 | $0.700 | $6.73 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.800 | $1.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Yes | sell | 7.08 | $0.940 | $6.66 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.950 | $6.73 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 4.15 | $0.250 | $1.04 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.260 | $1.08 | Jul 21, 2026 |