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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 10.51 | $0.940 | $9.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.67 |
| $0.599 |
| $1 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | sell | 7.81 | $0.982 | $7.67 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.992 | $5.02 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 11.5 | $0.962 | $11.06 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.950 | $5.52 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.969 | $5.15 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | sell | 5.07 | $0.994 | $5.04 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.956 | $11 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times during NBC interview?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Trump say "tax" 3 or more times during NBC interview?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Solana above $240 on December 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.651 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Dec 8, 2024 |