Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 104.69 | $0.917 | $100.03 | +$4.03 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 222.46 | $0.949 | $211.11 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.99 |
| $0.910 |
| $10.72 |
| +$0.72 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 10.05 | $0.995 | $9.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.4 | $0.926 | $5.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | No | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.944 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.624 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 10?No | sell | 60 | $0.680 | $40.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?No | sell | 289.29 | $0.644 | $186.27 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsGamerLegion | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Ducks vs. OilersOilers | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.926 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Thunder vs. SunsThunder | buy | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.06 | $0.930 | $0.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona DiamondbacksChicago White Sox | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.91 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Canucks vs. OilersOilers | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 327.15 | $0.917 | $300 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No | sell | 771.43 | $0.997 | $769.12 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No | buy | 771.32 | $0.998 | $769.78 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No | sell | 772.14 | $0.996 | $769.05 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No | buy | 771.98 | $0.997 | $769.67 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No | sell | 134 | $0.630 | $84.42 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | sell | 802.63 | $0.998 | $801.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |