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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.919 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.001 |
| $1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.880 | $1.09 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Jean Smart (Hacks) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.900 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.890 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.890 | $1.07 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.914 | $1.06 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.810 | $1.05 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.870 | $1.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.860 | $1.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.890 | $1.02 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.850 | $1.01 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.860 | $1.06 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.977 | $1.12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.910 | $1.14 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.975 | $2.12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.994 | $1.1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.961 | $1.17 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.880 | $2.11 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.973 | $2.49 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 1.35 | $0.900 | $1.22 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.36 | $0.904 | $2.13 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.954 | $3.14 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.860 | $1.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.846 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.930 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.960 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.930 | $1.03 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.993 | $2.25 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?Yes | sell | 3.99 | $0.990 | $3.95 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.984 | $1.01 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.870 | $1.09 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | Dec 19, 2025 |